Q1-2017 “State of the Market” UDI Report

UDI Pacific’s ‘State of the Market’ quarterly publication for Q1-2017 is now available. View the report here. The below is from a May 29, 2017 press release from UDI:

New Multi-Family Housing Availability Falls Off a Cliff Across Metro Vancouver

VANCOUVER, BC —Availability of new multi-family housing has reached historic lows with zero new townhomescompleted and move-in ready in Vancouver, and only 16 townhomes and 15 condos ready for occupancy in the entire Metro region (Lower Mainland) at the end of March 2017. These startling findings are in UDI’s first quarter State of the Market 2017 Research Report. The independent report tracks quarterly population growth with new home sales, prices and supply.
“We clearly need a regional housing strategy with more homes for more people,” says UDI President & CEO Anne McMullin.  “That means more high-rise apartments along rapid transit corridors and more townhomes, rowhomes, multi-family low-rises, duplexes and laneway homes in traditional single family neighborhoods.”

While pre-sales in various forms of construction were available for purchase as part of overall “inventory”, that doesn’t help someone who’s just moved here for a new job with a family, and needs a new home today, she added. “What’s causing the supply shortage is the restrictive single family home neighborhood zoning on 85% of our residential land base, available to a select few high income earners who can buy there. That keeps out young families, middle income earners and renters, who can’t afford single family homes.”

Report Highlights:

When interpreting this report, the best measurement on new housing that is move-in ready is called “standing inventory”.  Housing starts are not a good measurement of supply, because at least 80% of these are pre-sold before they’re even built, to meet bank financing requirements. While the housing starts to population ratio has improved in this quarter, a cumulative supply deficit over many years persists.

• Zero townhome units available & unsold in Vancouver proper. Only 16 units in Metro Van., which
  flat-lined for the past year. See chart 8.4 p.14
• Four wood frame condos in Metro, none in Vancouver. See chart 7.4 p13
• Record low 11 concrete condos available in Metro, none in Vancouver, steady decline from Q2 2014. See chart 4 p.12
• Metro Van. population up by 29,900 over the last year. Current pop. 2,183,600. See chart 1.1 on p. 7
• Most municipalities averaging 6% vacancy rate, no improvement. See chart 5.6 on page 11.

Facts/Links:

• Development is BC’s largest industry/economic impact $17B in GDP and 220,000 jobs
• Video statement from Anne McMullin, President & CEO, UDI.
• The UDI State of the Market report is produced by Urban Analytics and sponsored by Terra Law.